Ireland, I Despair!

First I must apologise if this article comes across as a rant, but the events of the past week have left me in such despair I couldn't stop myself. Ireland has made so much progress in the last 25 years and a conservative minority are determined to hold it back. During the past week they had two victories.

First came the decision from the BAI (Broadcasting Authority of Ireland) to uphold a complaint from the Family and Media Association (FMA), an extremely conservative Catholic organisation. The complaint was that a discussion on the Derek Mooney show on RTE radio about same sex marriage had not been balanced. The discussion was about the day being the anniversary of the first civil partnerships in Ireland and involved someone who had got a civil partnership on the first day they were legal. Tiernan Brady of GLEN (Gay and Lesbian Equality Network) was also on the show. Derek Mooney is also gay, so there were three gay men on the show, talking about a significant milestone in the history of LGBT rights in Ireland. It was in this context that they discussed the upcoming referendum on same-sex marriage.

Of course, in relation to referendums, RTE is supposed to be completely balanced and impartial so as not to influence the vote in any way. Although try telling that to RTE when there was a referendum on the Lisbon Treaty or the referendum on the Austerity Treaty, when RTE clearly favoured the government position.

The complaint here was made though that there was no opposing views voiced in this incident, that Derek Mooney should have balanced the views of his guests. What the BAI and the FMA are basically saying is that Mooney should have been obliged to have an anti-equality bigot on his show to say why Mooney does not deserve equality.
But then what next? Are we going to say that a black presenter must have Aine NiChonaill, the notorious racist, on their show? Or if a Jewish person were presenting the show, they must have a Nazi on it? That's ridiculous, and downright offensive. And nobody would say that, but for some reason, when it comes to LGBT people, and their rights, suddenly they must be balanced with extreme bigots.
And it just follows on from the ridiculous case where RTE paid 'compensation' to John Waters, the bigot and 'columnist' and the Iona Institute after Rory O'Neill aka Miss Panti Bliss, called them homophobes on TV.

The conservative, predominantly Catholic right are running scared though. Poll after poll in recent years has shown a majority of people support same-sex marriage rights as well as a womens right to choose, the other great fear of conservatives. And they are fighting back, trying to shut down debate and discussion as they know they are losing the propaganda war.

But the polls bring me on to the second, horrible news item of the week. I thought after the case of Savita Halapannavar in 2012, I could never be surprised by the abortion issue in Ireland anymore. But when it comes to abortion, or womens rights in general, Ireland always has the capacity to shock.

At the weekend, the story of a young woman was revealed. She was newly arrived in Ireland in April, most likely an asylum seeker, a rape survivor, and 8 weeks pregnant. She asked for an abortion which was denied her.
Being forced to continue the pregnancy she attempted suicide at 16 weeks. She then went to a GP in July who referred her to a hospital where she was assessed to see if she was eligible for an abortion under the Protection of Life During Pregnancy (PLDP) Act. Due to her attempted suicide and mental state, she should have been eligible under the law, but she was denied the abortion. She then went on hunger and thirst strike at which point the HSE got a High Court order allowing her to be force fed. In the court, the young woman, and the foetus had separate legal representation. Yes, a foetus had its own lawyer, paid for by the state, ergo, by us, the taxpayers. She was then deceived into ending her hunger strike and then persuaded or more likely coerced into having a caesarean section to deliver the foetus prematurely after 24 weeks of pregnancy.

What is most shocking and horrifying, and I did feel sick when first reading about the case, is that this women endured physical and mental torture at the hands of the state. A woman who was already incredibly vulnerable, she had just survived a rape, she was in a new country, with not much English. And who was so traumatised by the pregnancy that she attempted suicide, and later went on hunger strike.

At no point during this case, was the womans life or health considered, or at least considered first. The foetus came first, when the woman was force fed, it was to keep the foetus alive until it became viable for a C-section to happen. The poor woman had no bodily autonomy during this pregnancy, but particularly after she came into the remit of the HSE when she was referred to the hospital.

When pro-choice activists warned last year that the PLDP Bill did not go far enough and that it would create problems and confusion, we were dismissed by the government who said the legislation went as far as necessary and that it would protect women. And while this young woman might not have died, she has been left traumatised for life. She suffered treatment at the hands of the state that no one should have to face.

And when I say state, this case clearly highlights the interconnectedness of the ruling class running the state. The womans suffering resulted from collaboration between politicians and the church who continue to criminalise abortion, healthcare providers who deny abortion services, and the judiciary who back them up.

In the same way the BAI case showed the collaboration between those at the top of the Irish media, the regulatory bodies and the legal professions.

All working together to preserve the status quo, an Ireland in which women have no rights or bodily integrity while pregnant. An Ireland in which LGBT people are only tolerated as long as they don't talk about it or demand too much equality. Too much equality? I didn't think that was possible, but clearly it is a problem that the likes of the FMA and Iona Institute have identified.

I hope now, the next year will see a reassertion of progress and moves toward equality. The referendum on same-sex marriage takes place in the Spring. I am determined that the silent majority in this country who support equality will no longer be silenced by a vocal and increasingly shrill minority who would deny such equality.

Hopefully there will also be a referendum on repealing the 8th Amendment as that has to be the first step in decriminalising abortion in Ireland and giving women the right to choose. The government would love to just ignore the issue and hope it goes away again, and it is pro-choice activists duty now to ensure that the issue stays alive and that a referendum is very much kept on the agenda.

2014-15 Season Preview

Premiership Prediction 2014-15

1.   Chelsea

2.   Arsenal

3.   Manchester City

4.   Liverpool

5.   Manchester United

6.   Tottenham Hotspurs

7.   Newcastle

8.   Everton

9.   West Ham United

10.               Stoke

11.               Southampton

12.               Sunderland

13.               Hull

14.               Crystal Palace

15.               West Bromwich Albion

16.               Queens Park Rangers

17.               Leicester City

18.               Aston Villa

19.               Swansea City

20.               Burnley

 

This looks set to be Chelsea’s year. They have made the best signings and Mourinho is in his second season since returning to Chelsea. In his second seasons at Porto and Inter, he won the league and Champions League doubles, and won his only La Liga title in his second season at Real Madrid.

Diego Costa is a good bet to finish top scorer, as he has all the attributes to thrive in the Premiership, and he brings the aggression as well as goal-scoring threat that was lacking in the Chelsea attack last season. Fabregas should settle into the midfield smoothly as replacement for Lampard. And for the first time since, this team resembles closely the phenomenal Chelsea team of 2005. The only question mark is over Torres and Drogba as back up to Costa. Torres isn’t performing and Drogba might not have the legs anymore.

 
Arsenal have strengthened significantly this summer with Ospina, Debuchy and Chambers being significant improvements on Fabianski, Sagna and Jenkinson. Chambers has looked surprisingly calm and assured so far. But the big change is the signing of Alexis Sanchez. He brings the pace, aggression and directness that was lacking in the Arsenal attack last season, particularly when Walcott got injured. As well as his own attributes, Sanchez should help bring out the best in Mesut Ozil as well after he had a quiet first season.
If Arsenal can bring in the centre back and defensive midfielder they still need, and they have been linked with a number of them, then they should be able to put in a sustained title challenge.
They should also be helped by Shad Forsythe, the fitness coach who will help reduce the amount and duration of injuries which have cost Arsenal so dearly in the past 10 years.

Manchester City might be reigning champions but they have stagnated so far this summer. They have strengthened the defensive side with Caballero, Mangala, Sagna and Fernando which should help cut out the defensive mistakes from last season. But with Negredo injured, and Aguero so injury-prone this year, City could struggle up front. And if anything happens to Toure, they will be in trouble because Lampard is certainly not an adequate replacement.

 
Next will be Manchester United and Liverpool. Which order they finish in depends very much on who they sign within the next two weeks.
So far United have signed Herrera and Shaw, both of whom are good players, but they will not be enough to mount a title challenge, and probably not enough to get in the top four. They still need a couple of defenders and a midfielder. They will be helped though by playing fewer games due to not being in Europe.

Liverpool sold the best player in the league and have spent the money on expanding the squad, although so far, with the exception of Dejan Lovren, it seems to be more a matter of quantity rather than quality. They desperately need to sign a better striker than Lambert or they will struggle to replace the goals of Suarez. Markovic, Can and Moreno could take time to settle and are unlikely to make an immediate impact. Lallana is overrated at £25m, and when you consider that a player like Toni Kroos moved for less than that this summer, clearly that money could have been better spent.

 
I’d expect Tottenham to improve this season under new manager Mauricio Pocchettino. So far their transfer business has been quiet but if they sign Wilfried Bony and Mateo Musacchio, as expected, they should have enough to challenge for the top four as they already have a very strong squad. Having had a season to settle in, Christian Eriksen, could be one of the top players in the league this season.
 
Newcastle have done some very good transfer business this summer. Janmaat is a more than adequate replacement for Debuchy while they have significantly strengthened in their weak spot in attack with Riviere, Ayoze, Ferreyra and DeJong while Cabella is an outstanding playmaker and a real coup of a signing. If they can maintain some consistency they should finish in the top 8.
 
A lot of pundits are tipping Everton to challenge the top four but they have not strengthened at all from last season. There is a lot of talk about the £28m spent on Romelu Lukaku, nearly doubling their transfer record, but he was at the club last season, as was their other major signing Gareth Barry. They might have been better off bringing in Bony and Remy who would have cost a combined 28m and would have provided greater options and more goals. The on-loan Atsu replaces the on-loan Deulofeu who was a better player. That just leaves Muhammed Besic, who has potential, but his youth and lack of experience, as well as the strength Everton already have in midfield, mean it could take a while for him to break into the team. The squad is also likely to be stretched by playing in the Europa League especially as the likes of Distin, Jagielka and Osman are all getting on.
 
West Ham and Stoke have both made decent signings and should finish comfortably in mid-table, while Sunderland should improve after their narrow escape last season.
 
Southampton have been decimated in the transfer window, although they did very well to get £88m for Lallana, Shaw, Lovren and Chambers. Pocchettino is also a big loss. Ronald Koeman has a very mixed record as manager, he did well with Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord but disappointed at Benfica and was disastrous at Valencia and AZ. He has made some good signings though, even if they paid way too much for Shane Long. If the new signings settle they should be comfortable in mid-table, if they don’t, they could be in for a relegation battle.
 
That leaves the bottom eight teams, any of whom could be relegated, depending on injuries, suspensions, transfers or even sheer bad luck.

Hull could finish higher, but have just sold their best striker, and unless they can get someone in fast they could struggle for goals. They should have enough quality in the rest of the team to stay up though.

Crystal Palace have had a disappointing summer, missing out on all their main transfer targets. This has now led to rumours of manager Tony Pulis being unhappy and wanting to leave. If he stays, they should have enough to be safe, although it will be tougher than last season and it certainly won’t be pretty. If Pulis leaves, at this late stage of the summer, they will struggle.

 
West Brom have appointed Alan Irvine who is completely unproven at this level. It is a gamble, but they showed with Steve Clarke in 2012 that it can pay off. They have made some excellent signings which should strengthen their defence. Much depends on Ideye Brown in attack, I’m not sure if he will be good enough. They will be hard to beat though and despite most pundits predicting they will be relegated I think they will stay up.
 
I expect QPR to be the best of the promoted teams. They have plenty of players with premiership experience as well as Harry Redknapp who will be keen to do well in what will probably be his last job. They have also made some good signings while clearing out a lot of the bad ones left behind by Mark Hughes.
 
Leicester have a good blend of experience and youth and having dominated the Championship last season should just about have enough to stay up.
 
Aston Villa are the fourth most successful team in the history of English football and have been in the top division continuously since 1988. They have hovered around the relegation zone for much of the 90’s and 00’s though and this looks like it will be the season they get relegated. They only just avoided it last season, and so far this summer they have signed Joe Cole, Senderos and Richardson all on free transfers and Aly Cissokho for £2m. Cole is long past his best and barely played last season at West Ham, Senderos has never quite been good enough at this level and Richardson was relegated with Fulham last season. Meanwhile Cissokho flopped last season at Liverpool. Villa are too reliant on Benteke in attack who probably would have left by now if he wasn’t injured. And Ron Vlaar, the captain and defensive rock looks set to leave.

There has been a lot of speculation that the new assistant manager, Roy Keane will replace manager, Paul Lambert if Villa start badly although its hard to see how that will make any difference considering that the owner is refusing to spend any money. It’s a sad way to go, cast aside by a disinterested American owner, but it shows the perils of being bought out by businessmen who have no previous connection to the club.

 
We still don’t know the full reason why Michael Laudrup was sacked by Swansea last season. They were struggling, but given his previous achievements he should have been given more time. His replacement, Garry Monk looks out of his depth and is unlikely to last the full season. A number of key players have left, and their replacements are vastly inferior. Loaning out Michu is particularly baffling. With Wilfried Bony looking set to join either Tottenham or Liverpool, Swansea will struggle badly.
 
Burnley’s promotion was a massive achievement, considering their budget and size of their squad. But they look out of their depth here particularly as they haven’t managed to make any noteworthy signings. This season could be a long hard slog for them.