2025-26 Premier League Predictions

1.     Arsenal

2.     Liverpool

3.     Man City

4.     Chelsea

5.     Aston Villa

6.     Tottenham

7.     Brighton

8.     Newcastle

9.     Man Utd

10. Fulham

11. Everton

12. Nottingham Forest

13. West Ham

14. Crystal Palace

15. Bournemouth

16. Wolves

17. Leeds

18. Brentford

19. Sunderland

20. Burnley

The title is a toss up between Arsenal and Liverpool. They have the strongest first elevens and arguably the strongest squads and both look stronger than last season when they were comfortably the two best teams. To win the title this time Arsenal will need a reversal of the rotten luck with injuries they had last season while they will also desperately need better refereeing. Greater squad depth after a strong transfer window will help Arsenal deal better with injuries, but with dodgy refereeing decisions costing Arsenal at least 10 points last season they will need improvement there.

Liverpool start as the team to beat and they have spent massively on improving their team. Florian Wirtz is the pick of their new signings and he should lighten the load on Mo Salah. There are small question marks over their defence though after an unconvincing pre-season. With Quansah sold and Gomez injured they currently have no back-up for VanDijk and Konate. Presumably that will be addressed before the end of the transfer window, but as it stands, Liverpool are one defensive injury away from trouble.

Manchester City still look like the best of the rest despite a relatively unconvincing transfer window so far. Reijnders, Cherki and Ait-Nouri all look like good signings but they are different style of players than those they are replacing which would suggest tactical change by Guardiola. They have also failed to strengthen an injury-prone defence that let them down badly last season. January defensive signings Vitor Reis and Khusanov made little impact and Reis has now gone out on loan. As long as they can get the right service to Haaland, they will always have a chance of winning trophies but they are in danger of becoming too reliant on him to bail them out.

Chelsea have yet again spent a fortune in this transfer window on another random selection of signings with still no coherent sense of a first XI. Their two new strikers are unproven at this level, Joao Pedro hardly set the world alight at Brighton while Liam Delap was relegated with Ipswich, whether they can make the step up to Chelsea’s level remains to be seen. And while they have plenty of options in defence, none of them are particularly convincing, while the goalkeeper Robert Sanchez is an obvious weak link. If they can get the attack firing they should have enough individual talents to make top four again but I can’t see them challenging for the title.

Below them there are four big teams who would expect to challenge for the top four on a regular basis but all still have question marks over them.

Aston Villa struggled to combine champions league football with the premier league last season. It was noticeable their form improved significantly after the group stage. This season in the Europa League they should be able to rotate their team more, keeping key players fresh for the league. They have had a relatively quiet transfer window, not helped by having to fit with financial rules which could also see them having to sell a big player before the window ends. Nevertheless, they have enough for a strong season.

Tottenham’s season will depend on how well new manager Thomas Frank fits in at his first job outside Brentford. He did a fantastic job getting Brentford promoted and keeping them up but at Tottenham he will no longer be the underdog. Tottenham will be expected to dominate and beat most teams. Tottenham have quietly built an impressive squad over the last couple of years and with a strong emphasis on youth that will benefit them in the long run. Finally winning a trophy last season should help them move forward as well even if their late collapse in the European Supercup shows they still haven’t completely shed their Spursy habits.

Brighton will hope to ensure the big teams don’t have everything their own way. Another impressive transfer window, while for now holding onto all their key players has left them with a very strong squad. They will need more consistency and some more goals from their strikers would be a big help.

Newcastle’s season hinges on what happens over the next two weeks with their star striker Alexander Isak. Isak wants to leave, but has few options to go to. If it had been earlier in the window, Arsenal and Liverpool would have been obvious options, but both have spent big on other strikers instead. Liverpool are still being linked with him although its hard to see how they can still afford him and certainly not at the price Newcastle are demanding. The dilemma for Newcastle is, do they sell him below their asking price or do they keep him and hope he changes his mind about refusing to play for them. Otherwise, the club have had a nightmare of a transfer window with several players turning them down in favour of other clubs, including potential replacements for Isak in Sesko and Ekitike. At this late stage of the window, its hard to see who Newcastle could sign to replace Isak and the best result for them would seem to be to get one more year out of Isak and then let him leave next summer. If Isak stays and plays, they could challenge strongly for top four. Without him or a top replacement and they could struggle to make top 10.

Man United are a bit of an unknown. Surely they have to be better than last season but how much better is hard to say. Despite all the warnings before the transfer window about lack of funds, they have spent significantly on three new forwards, Sesko, Cunha and Mbeumo and are being linked with a big money move for Brighton midfielder Carlos Baleba. How they fit all their attacking players into a coherent team remains to be seen. Also cant help feel they have spent huge amounts of money replacing some of their best attacking players while ignoring problems in defence and midfield. After such a woeful season, manager Ruben Amorim is under huge pressure to show progress but if he finally gets the team playing the way he wants they should have enough for an upper half finish but its impossible to see them challenging for champions league places.

Fulham, Everton, Nottingham Forest and West Ham should all be safe in mid-table. Fulham have taken the if it aint broke don’t fix it approach to their squad this summer. Everton have made some good signings, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Jack Grealish in particular and should comfortably avoid the relegation fears of recent years. Twelfth will seem like a disappointment for Nottingham Forest after last season but it would seem a more accurate reflection of their strength and they will also have the challenge of European football to contend with. Manager Graham Potter is under pressure at West Ham after failing to oversee any significant improvement over the course of last season. Summer signings have been solid but unspectacular and they still look short upfront but with a strong defence and midfield, they should be hard to beat.

Crystal Palace, Bournemouth and Wolves have all had a very difficult summer transfer window and its hard to see them making much progress this season. Crystal Palace’s season will hinge on whether they keep or sell their captain Marc Guehi and their playmaker Eberechi Eze who are both being linked with big moves. The rest of their team has enough talent to avoid relegation trouble but nothing more. Bournemouth have lost four fifths of their defence this summer and as of writing still haven’t replaced their two departed centre backs. Without knowing who their new defence will be its hard to definitively judge them but even if new signings all work out they will need time to adjust. Wolves have continued their trend of recent years of selling their top players and bringing in cheap replacements. Eventually this policy is going to fail them but they will just about have enough this season.

After winning the Championship last season, Leeds look like the strongest of the promoted teams and manager Daniel Farke has plenty of experience at this level. With a couple more signings, they should be best placed to avoid relegation.

Unfortunately I think this will be the end of the road for Brentford in the premier league. Its been a fairytale rise for a well-run club but losing their manager, their captain, their goalkeeper and their two best forwards is too big a blow to recover from. New goalkeeper Caoimhin Kelleher is talented but Jordan Henderson (who replaced captain Norgaard) is over the hill and as of writing they have made no forward signings.

The other two promoted sides Sunderland and Burnley just don’t look strong enough for this level. Sunderland have signed some impressive young players with Habib Diallo being a real coup but question marks over ageing new full-backs Reinildo and Masuaku and a lack of premier league experience in the squad. Burnley have largely stuck with the players who won promotion and manager Scott Parker has experience at this level. But the squad looks weak in attack and they wont be able to rely on their defence the way they did last season, especially with talented young goalkeeper James Trafford gone to Man City.

2024-25 Post Season Review

I didn't think Liverpool would challenge for the title immediately under new manager Arne Slot but in the end Liverpool coasted to the title. They were the most consistent team over the season and were able to take advantage of the struggles of Arsenal and Manchester City. While there were some minor tactical tweaks to the team, this was the squad assembled by predecessor Jurgen Klopp as the only new signing, Federico Chiesa made little impact. With so little change in personnel, it was a smooth transition from Klopp to Slot and the team deserved the title.

By contrast, it was a difficult season for Arsenal and Manchester City though. Arsenal's season-long injury crisis meant they were never able to field a full strength team and exposed a lack of squad depth, especially in attack. Arsenal are also right to feel aggrieved at a number of terrible refereeing decisions that cost them points including in key games against Liverpool and Manchester City. The gap between Arsenal and Liverpool was big enough that better refereeing probably wouldn't have  seen Arsenal win the title but at least there would have been a closer title race instead of the boring procession we got.

That aforementioned match between Arsenal and Manchester City was seen as a major turning point in City's season as their key player Rodri went off injured and didn't play again this season. While his injury was a significant factor in their subsequent drastic drop in form, it is not the whole answer. In truth, City were never wholly convincing this season from the very beginning and got lucky with some of their early results. Too many players in an ageing squad looked like they have too many miles on the clock and there will be big changes expected this summer. The squad overhaul started in January with nearly £200m spent on new young players and they will be sure to spend significantly again in this transfer window. How they are allowed to spend so freely when they have 115 charges still hanging over them related to financial mismanagement is another question.

Outside of the top three there was a closely fought battle for the remaining European places with up to nine teams seemingly in the hunt at different stages of the season. Chelsea and Newcastle eventually prevailed in finishing fourth and fifth, securing champions league football.

Given Chelsea's expenditure over recent seasons, fourth should have been the minimum expected of them but they left it late. Manager Enzo Maresca has failed to impress so far with his patient tactical style and he is still to work out his first XI. With more squad changes expected it could be another while before he works out his first XI, time that he might not have unless they start next season well. At a minimum, Chelsea will be expected to be a lot closer to the top three from the start.

Newcastle looked solid without being spectacular all season long but nearly contrived to throw away champions league football with a nervy end to the season. They achieved their goal of European football and picked up a trophy along the way. They will need reinforcements though as 2023-24 proved their small squad struggles to cope when playing in Europe.

Aston Villa in sixth will feel very hard done by missing out on champions league after the terrible refereeing mistake which cost them a goal in their final game. Their inconsistent form for much of the season had left them playing catch-up in the race for Europe though and their good run of form at the end came too late. Champions League quarter finalists on their first season in the competition was a fantastic result for them though. The Europa League next season will feel like a step down but is probably a better reflection of their abilities. 

Nottingham Forest will feel a sense of disappointment in finishing seventh and qualifying for the Conference League after spending most of the season in the top four. But the reality is that even that is a big overachievement when most people, myself included had expected them to struggle. They should go far in the conference league but will have to be careful that it doesn't affect their league form.

Brighton, Bournemouth, Brentford and Fulham all impressed this season, playing good football under progressive young managers. They all seemed to be in the race for Europe but ultimately fell away a bit as the long season took its toll. If they can hold on to their managers and key players there is no reason why they shouldnt be able to continue their fine progress.

Crystal Palace had a quiet season in the league, recovering from a poor start to finish comfortably in mid-table. The story of their season though is the FA cup win, a first trophy in their history. This will also mean a first foray into Europe. They will need to be smart this summer to strengthen their squad to deal with the twin challenges of Europe and the league, especially if key players like Guehi and Eze depart.

Below Palace were the strugglers. Everton slogged their way through under Sean Dyche until being lifted by the return of David Moyes who ensured they kept clear of any threat of relegation. Their new stadium looks impressive but the playing squad desperately needs investment if the new manager bounce is to continue into next season.

Wolverhampton Wanderers somewhat flew under the radar this season. Gary O'Neil had done very well in keeping them up last season but after a poor start this season was fired in December. His successor Vitor Pereira got the team playing and got the results to get them clear of trouble. Another season in the lower part of the table will be the expectation for next season.

Much was expected of West Ham this season after heavy investment in players and a new manager Julen Lopetegui last summer. Lopetegui didn't last long though amid poor results and frustration at the playing style. His successor Graham Potter didn't fare any better and they were lucky that the teams below them happened to be so poor otherwise relegation could have been a real danger.

The three promoted teams, Leicester City, Ipswich Town and Southampton endured a miserable season and all go straight back down. After so long away, Ipswich at least seemed to enjoy the occasion but more was expected from Leicester and Southampton. But it shows the growing gulf in quality between the premiership and the championship and its growth even in just the year that Leicester and Southampton were away. Next season, Leeds and Burnley are back after short spells in the championship while Sunderland make a long awaited return. Its hard to see them faring much better than this seasons trio though.

Meanwhile, whole books could be written about the disastrous seasons of Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspurs, fifteenth and seventeenth in the league respectively. 

As expected, Erik Ten Hag didn't last much longer in Manchester but nobody could have foreseen how poor they would fare under his successor Ruben Amorim. Amorim, so highly regarded for his work with Sporting in Portugal, had been heavily linked with Liverpool last summer who must now be thinking they had a lucky escape. Just four points off top four when he took over in November, Man United ended up 27 points off the top four. With a mishmash squad of old and past it stars such as Casemiro and Eriksen, overawed youngsters like Yoro and players who just arent good enough like Hojlund, its hard to see how things get better for them anytime soon. The squad needs a massive rebuild and without European football, unwanted players on huge wages and debt problems, its hard to see how they will fund it. Its difficult to see how things can get worse for United, but they could be about to find out. After the horrors of this season, their worst in decades, Amorim will need a good start to next season or he will be gone. At the same time, the clubs ownership needs to work better, hiring and firing wildly different managers and bringing in different players for each of them is clearly not working.

Tottenham can point to winning the Europa League as a sign of success this season and a first trophy in nearly twenty years is a significant achievement. Most people scoffed when manager Ange Postecoglou made the bold claim that he always wins a trophy in his second season. But their domestic form was embarrassing to say the least, and tactically, Postecoglou often looked completely out of his depth as Spurs were regularly outplayed. It was a shocking drop off in form for a team that was close to reaching champions league football last season. Injuries were a mitigating factor this season but they will have to do a lot better next season with what on paper at least looks like a decent squad.

I'm Still Here - devastating film on the psychological impact of military dictatorship

I’m Still Here is a devastating film that delves into the experience of people living under military dictatorship in Brazil the 1960’s and 70’s while also resonating in the here and now.

The film focuses on the family of Rubens Paiva, a former Labour party congressman who fled into exile after being removed from congress following the 1964 military coup. The film begins after his return to Brazil and much of the early part of the film depicts his happy middle class family life. The family live by the beach in Rio de Janeiro and spend happy days there with friends. They enjoy sports and games, listen to popular music, go to the cinema, have parties.

But while the family seem happy, in the background, Rubens is in regular contact with the underground left-wing resistance. Rubens and his wife Eunice worry about the future and the safety of their children and ponder whether to go back into exile. Their oldest daughter who is becoming increasingly politically aware is sent away to London to keep her safe. And while the film presents the Paiva’s as a happy, comfortable family, the threat of the military regime is a constant presence with military helicopters flying overhead, trucks on the streets and checkpoints on the roads.

The film turns with Rubens’ arrest by the military police in January 1971. For days afterwards, military police remain in the Paiva’s home while offering no information on Rubens’ whereabouts. Then Eunice and their 15-year-old daughter Eliana are also arrested and brought to military prison for questioning. While Eliana is released after a day, Eunice spends days in the prison as her interrogators demand information on supposed left-wing terrorists. In the background we hear the screams of other prisoners being tortured and see their blood on the floors. To the viewers and Eunice’s horror, we can only speculate if Rubens or Eliana are among those screaming or bleeding.

Eunice is eventually released but with still no information on the whereabouts of her husband. As Eunice searches for answers, she hides her fears to protect her children and continues to project a façade.

The film becomes a harrowing portrayal of how the uncertainty of not knowing whether Rubens is alive or dead becomes a psychological torture worse than the grief of loss. Fernanda Torres who plays Eunice, gives an astonishing performance in conveying this struggle. The film title references Eunice’s persistence in her struggle for answers and for justice. For so many thousands of families in Brazil and across much of South America during this time, this uncertainty continued for decades with no answers. Assuming that their loved ones had been killed but without the closure of knowing for sure or being able to bury them. This taps into experiences felt in so many countries around the world where violent repressive regimes have been or are in power.

And while the film addresses a particularly dark period in Brazilian history, it also speaks to issues today. Much of director Walter Salles earlier work has addressed political themes including his 2004 biopic of a young Ché Guevara, The Motorcycle Diaries. But with his first narrative film in 12 years, Salles clearly wants to draw connections between the historical events of the film and recent and current events in Brazil and around the world. It is not so long ago that Jair Bolsonaro was president of Brazil, a far-right president who openly harked back to the days of military rule. While Bolsonaro was eventually defeated, him and his politics still have support in Brazil. The far-right in Brazil have relentlessly attacked the film while defending the dictatorship. The film however, has been a massive hit in Brazil and the renewed attention the film has brought has pushed the Brazilian authorities to finally legally recognise the violent, unlawful death of Rubens Paiva over 50 years after he was killed, helping to demonstrate the influence that art can have.

Ultimately the film is also a reminder of the challenges for the left when coming up against the machinery of the capitalist state and the measures the state can resort to when it feels threatened. The left cannot rely on just a few good people in parliament, it needs the support and strength of mass movements of people in order to challenge the state and bring about real change.

Mickey 17 - scabrously entertaining film of class struggle

Mickey 17 is the fascinating new film by Korean auteur Bong Joon Ho, following on from the huge success of his 2019 Oscar-winning film Parasite. While carrying many of the same themes as Parasite, Mickey 17 is much larger in scope to go with its significantly bigger Hollywood budget, the biggest Bong has worked with to date.

Mickey 17 follows the story of Mickey Barnes, who together with his business partner Timo join an interplanetary colonising mission to escape murderous debt collectors on Earth. Without reading the fine print, Mickey signs up to be an expendable on board the four-year mission to the planet Niflheim. As Mickey dutifully explains through voiceover, he quickly realises an expendable is there to carry out the most dangerous jobs on board the ship. This includes exposing himself to deadly radiation, testing out vaccines and being fed experimental food and medicines. As an expendable, each time Mickey dies, his body is reprinted and his memories reimplanted within 24 hours. Mickey 17 thus, is the seventeenth iteration of Mickey Barnes.

Complications ensue however when Mickey 17 is left for dead on the frozen planet Niflheim. He survives and returns to the ship only to find that Mickey 18 has already been printed. The presence of two Mickey Barnes sets up a brilliant dual performance by English actor Robert Pattinson who manages to clearly delineate the two Mickeys with different personalities. Pattinson is best known for his roles in blockbusters such as Twilight and The Batman but has also had a far more interesting career outside the mainstream in works by auteur directors such as David Cronenburg and Claire Denis.

The presence of Mickey 17 and Mickey 18 however violates the strict rules against multiples after the case of a serial killer using multiples of himself to commit murders while escaping justice. If Mickey 17 and Mickey 18 are to coexist, they will have to escape the attentions of the mission’s leader, the failed politician, Kenneth Marshall. Marshall, having been voted out on Earth, decides to colonise Niflheim where he dreams of a perfect world inhabited by a new, white, super-race. Although director Bong Joon Ho has stated that Marshall is not a reference to any particular politician, Kenneth Marshall, as played in a skin-crawling performance by Mark Ruffalo, does seem to combine the genocidal rhetoric of Adolf Hitler with the clownish mannerisms and vanity of Donald Trump. Marshall is accompanied at all times by the Lady Macbeth like figure of his wife Ylfa, played by Toni Collette, who guides him and soothes his ego. There is also a wholly unnecessary side-plot in which Ylfa is on a quest to find the perfect sauce to serve with dinner.

A particularly memorable dinner scene with the Marshalls and Mickey 17, in which Mickey is served steak contrasts sharply with the indistinguishable slop Mickey is accustomed to in the rations. With the mission taking longer than expected and supplies starting to run low, of course as an expendable, Mickey had been subjected to much reduced rations of slop compared to other crew members.

The film does start to fray with a chaotic final act after Kenneth Marshall decides to exterminate the native creatures, so-called creepers, from Niflheim. But it fits in with much of Bong Joon Ho’s work which has often looked at human’s destructive relationship with nature. Indeed, as a film, Mickey 17 brings together so many of the themes explored in his previous works such as Korean language pictures Parasite and The Host as well as his Hollywood co-productions Snowpiercer and Okja.

The overarching theme of Mickey 17 though is class struggle and how workers are treated as expendable under capitalism. Mickey 17 is the extreme example but there is a clear divide in the film between those who do the work on the ship and those who are in control. The film also references the MAGA movement’s slavish devotion to Trump as plenty of people are on the ship because they believe in Kenneth Marshall and will happily follow him to the ends of the universe (literally).

The film has faced some criticism for not focusing more on the ethical questions around reprinting humans, or on Mickeys experience of dying. Characters ask Mickey what it is like to die, and he has no answer. In truth I think there are so many themes and questions in this film, it can be hard to focus on any one of them. Certainly, Mickey 17 as a film is not as sharp or tightly focused as Parasite in its political edge, but it is still fascinating to watch and scabrously funny. And while there have been concerns by film industry insiders that Mickey 17 will not recoup its enormous budget, Bong Joon Ho’s reputation as a brilliant film-maker remains intact.

On Rainbow Armbands, Solidarity and Homophobia in football

There is something I find uncomfortable about the media coverage this week surrounding the issue of club captains wearing rainbow armbands. It is of course hugely important that players show solidarity with the LGBTQ community and demonstrate that they are accepting of all involved in football regardless of their sexuality or gender identity. Three players have been singled out though for choosing not to wear the armband, for writing their own message on the armband, and for refusing to wear a rainbow themed training top. It is noticeable that all three players are black and African. Ipswich club captain Sam Morsy, an Egyptian international chose not to wear the armband. Crystal Palace captain Marc Guehi who was born in Cote d'Ivoire wrote religious messages on his rainbow armband. While Manchester United player Noussair Mazraoui allegedly refused to wear a rainbow themed training top which led the team to scrap wearing the top so as not to single him out.

I think the media coverage and fan backlash against the three players has been unfair to them and doesnt consider the broader contexts. When thinking about homophobia in Africa, we cannot ignore the role of Europeans in introducing it, spreading it and enforcing it on the continent. The strictest laws against homosexuality in Africa derive from laws introduced by the white, Christian, British Empire. It is too easy then for white British people to condemn these African players without acknowledging the role their own country played. But given that homosexuality is illegal in Morocco and Egypt, it could cause problems for Morsy and Mazraoui to publicly show solidarity with LGBTQ people even if privately they were not homophobic. It isn't easy for players to go against their own country's laws, particularly when they are still international players. Neither player has explicitly commented on their reasons for not wearing the armband or training top but that broader context needs to be taken into account.

Its also worth noting that, at a time when one of the biggest issues in the world today is the ongoing genocide of Palestinians, Morsy and Mazraoui are two of the very few footballers who have shown solidarity with Palestinians. Given the political context when the establishment is so anti-Palestinian, their small gestures of solidarity have been far more meaningful than the wearing of rainbow armbands. Many footballers who have spoken out in solidarity with Palestinians have faced severe backlash with players being suspended and even sacked by clubs

The wearing of rainbow armbands is a small tokenistic gesture. It hasn't been shown to reduce homophobia in football where homophobic chants and insults are still common and there are still no openly LGBTQ players in the premiership. Furthermore we have seen where even when players go beyond armbands and are outspoken in support of the LGBTQ community, their solidarity is often paper thin. Jordan Henderson had been very vocal when he was captain of Liverpool, until he decided money was more important and accepted a move to Saudi Arabia. Likewise former England international David Beckham who was paid huge amounts to support the Qatar world cup.

Forcing players to show solidarity against their will isn't the way forward, the same way that players should not be forced to wear a poppy. And it is hypocritical of institutions to try and enforce such solidarity on individual players when they have no problem with homophobic institutions and states. Football authorities had a massive opportunity to protest against homophobia before and during the 2022 world cup hosted by Qatar and yet they did nothing. Even planned tiny tokenistic gestures didn't go ahead as authorities and players lacked the courage of their convictions. And football has shown to be perfectly happy to take the money from homophobic states like Saudi Arabia and Russia. When European players and institutions from liberal, gay-friendly countries can't even show solidarity with the LGBTQ community its hard to expect those from countries where being LGBTQ is illegal to do so.

2024-25 English Premiership Prediction

 

2024-25 Seasons Predictions

 

1.     Arsenal

2.     Manchester City

3.     Liverpool

4.     Tottenham

5.     Chelsea

6.     Newcastle

7.     West Ham

8.     Aston Villa

9.     Manchester United

10. Brighton

11. Crystal Palace

12. Bournemouth

13. Fulham

14. Wolves

15. Everton

16. Southampton

17. Nottingham Forest

18. Brentford

19. Ipswich

20. Leicester

This is probably more a case of hoping that Manchester City won’t win it again but I’m going for Arsenal for the title this season.

Arsenal have brought in Ricardo Calafiori who will strengthen what was already the leagues strongest defence. He may need time to adapt to the premiership but Arsenal have enough strength in depth in defence, especially with the long awaited return of Jurrien Timber from injury, that Calafiori can be afforded time. Signing another attacking player to provide cover for Saka or an alternative to Havertz would have boosted Arsenals chances, but the squad is already strong enough to mount a serious challenge.

Manchester City winning the charity shield last weekend actually augurs well for Arsenal as the last time City won it was in 2019 which was also the last season City didn’t go on to win the league. Arsenal fans will be clutching at such straws in hope but the City squad also looks a little light for now especially in attack following the sale of Julian Alvarez and the injury to Oscar Bobb. They were expected to sign an attacking player before the end of the transfer window but that didn’t happen. Even so, if City can maintain their usual standards than it will take something extraordinary from their challengers to beat them.

Liverpool are the third strongest on paper but their season will depend on how the squad, which was built to suit Jurgen Klopp, will adapt to new manager Arne Slot. Preseason friendlies showed a very different tactical approach from Klopps and it managed to produce results in preseason, it will be interesting to see how that goes in a competitive season. With Martin Zubimendi being the latest high-profile midfielder to snub a move to Anfield, a lack of signings is a worry. They should still be strong enough for third, but they won’t challenge the top two this season without reinforcements.

Tottenham should have finished fourth last season but missed out after an end of season collapse in form. The signing of Dominic Solanke could be the missing piece that completes the puzzle for Spurs and pushes them over the line. He will add goals to an exciting but sometimes impotent attack. They also desperately need to sort out their defense this season as they cannot continue to concede so many goals if they want to challenge for top four.

Chelsea are a conundrum to predict, they could conceivably finish anywhere between fourth and fourteenth. On paper they have the squad to finish in the top four but new manager Enzo Maresca will need time to settle in and work out his best team. Expect some topsy-turvy results early in the season but if Maresca is given time they should finish the season strongly.

Newcastle had a quiet transfer window but will be helped by the lack of European football this season. If they can avoid the injuries that hampered them last season they should improve and challenge for the European places.

An ambitious transfer window from West Ham and new manager bounce under Julen Lopetegui should see them rise up the table but probably still just short of challenging for champions league places.

Aston Villa wont be able to maintain the momentum of last season. Champions League football is a big step up for a small squad, and while there was plenty of movement in the transfer window, the squad wasn’t significantly strengthened.

Manchester United are treading water under manager Erik Ten Hag who is simply not the man to progress them further. A lot of money was spent by them in the transfer window without making the squad much stronger. There are still obvious gaps in the team at LB, RW and CM while Zirkzee is too similar to Hojlund. And there are reasons why Bayern and Juventus before them were happy to sell DeLigt. They could do well in a weak Europa League tournament but I will be very surprised if Ten Hag is still in charge next season.

Brighton had the highest spending transfer window of any team, using the money made from sales in previous windows. They have made a strong start to the season but that wont last. With such a young, new manager and so many new players it will be interesting to see how they cope when things aren’t going so well. With the quality they have a comfortable mid-table finish should be achievable.

Crystal Palace were the form team towards the end of last season but the summer break has disrupted their momentum. They have bought well in the transfer window though and should be comfortable in mid-table.

Similarly, Bournemouth and Fulham look safe in mid-table and have also bought well to replace key departures.

The remaining seven teams are likely to struggle against relegation.

Wolves have had a quiet transfer window. My predictions last summer of doom and gloom weren’t quite accurate but I haven’t seen any progress being made this summer while teams around them have strengthened.

Everton have made a disastrous start to the season. Their hands have been tied financially while the takeover saga rolls on. They have one of the strongest centre back partnership in the league and they will have to rely on them as much of the rest of the team is desperately weak. The lack of goals upfront is a particular concern. It wont be pretty but manager Sean Dyche should just about manage to grind out enough results to keep them up.

Southampton look the best placed to survive of the newly promoted teams after a strong transfer window. Signing Aaron Ramsdale was a real coup. Manager Russell Martin may have to adjust his playing style for something more pragmatic to get results but they have the players to stay up.

Nottingham Forest’s quiet transfer window could actually help them settle down after the chaos of previous windows. The squad still seems weak though and the season will be a struggle.

I think the bubble is starting to burst for Brentford. Getting promoted to the premiership and staying up was a fantastic achievement for them but we started to see the signs last season that the good times could be over. Ivan Toneys departure was a massive loss, especially with the injury to his replacement.

Ipswich had a very busy transfer window following promotion and have made some excellent signings. Irish viewers will be particularly keen to see Ogbene, Szmodics and O’Shea do well. But overall the squad is probably not at the level required for survival, this seasons Luton, gutsy but ultimately too weak.

Leicester will be heavily reliant on the ageing Jamie Vardy for goals following the departure of Iheanacho and injury to Daka. While they still have many of the players from their last spell in the premiership the league has got stronger in their absence and I don’t think they will have enough to stay up.

Palestine Solidarity in Football

 This article was first published in edited form on rebelnews.ie on the 29th October 2023

On Wednesday 25^th October we saw another awesome display of solidarity with the people of Palestine by Glasgow Celtic football fans with thousands of fans waving and displaying Palestinian flags during their Champions League match against Atletico Madrid. This ongoing solidarity with Palestinians facing genocidal attack by Israeli forces comes despite appeals from the club for fans to desist as the club faces fines by the European football governing body UEFA. These fines show the hypocrisy of UEFA who ban Palestinian flags as a political symbol saying that football and politics should not mix. This contrasts with the widespread gestures of support for Ukraine and shows that politics and football are allowed to mix only under certain conditions. It is also part of a wider trend around Europe to demonise and criminalise Palestinian solidarity even in the face of widespread support by people for the Palestinian cause.

The flag display was organised by the Green Brigade fans group who distributed flags to supporters as they entered the stadium. This follows on from Palestinian flags being displayed at Celtic’s recent Scottish league games. After a similar display in 2016 during a match against Israeli team Hapoel Be’er Sheva, the club were fined £9,000 by UEFA. The Green Brigade responded at the time with an online fundraiser that raised £130,000 for medical aid for Palestine and to create a football academy in Bethlehem.

While the Green Brigade helped organise these shows of solidarity, it is clear from the numbers at Celtic Park on Wednesday, that the support for Palestine among Celtic fans is much bigger than just the one fan group. The club however have responded to recent events by banning the Green Brigade from away matches in a bid to stop such scenes from recurring. While there has been no news yet on a potential fine this time, this is just one of a series of incidents of note around Europe regarding Palestinian solidarity in football.

Notably two footballers have been punished by their clubs and football authorities for showing solidarity with Palestine. Dutch footballer, Anwar El Ghazi, who is of Moroccan descent, was dropped by his German club Mainz, less than a month after joining, after he shared a post on Instagram expressing solidarity with Palestine. The club objected to the Instagram post which included the line ‘From the river to the sea, Palestine will be free’, a common slogan and chant of the Palestinian cause but which Israels supporters claim is anti-semitic. El Ghazi later stated online that ‘Every individual, be it in Palestine or elsewhere, has the right to security, a loving home and opportunities to grow’. This utterly uncontroversial statement wasn’t enough for Mainz though who proceeded to sack El Ghazi on the 27^th October. This appalling action by Mainz must be challenged by fans, players and player unions, at the very least it’s a case of illegal dismissal.

Another footballer, the Algerian, Youcef Atal of French club Nice was accused of defending terrorism for posting a video about Palestine on social media on 14^th October. Despite immediately removing the post and later posting that he denounces all forms of violence, the Nice public prosecutor opened an investigation and he was suspended by his club. On 25^th October the player received a seven-match ban by the French football authorities.

Both of these cases highlight a shocking overreach by authorities in punishing those who express solidarity with Palestinians.

Previously we have also seen Arsenals Egyptian footballer Mohamed Elneny forced to withdraw social media posts supporting Palestine in 2021 after a sponsor, the Italian coffee company Lavazza demanded action. Arsenal also censored and dropped German footballer Mesut Ozil for expressing solidarity with Uighurs who are being oppressed by China. The club were quick to act to avoid criticism from China.

These incidents are in stark contrast to what happens to those who express solidarity with Israel or Ukraine. Arsenal footballer Olexander Zinchenko and Tottenham footballer Manor Solomon both received criticism from fans for expressing solidarity with Israel during the current bombing campaign on Gaza. But the clubs and authorities were silent and there was no widespread media attention or condemnation.

Despite protestations from footballing authorities that football and politics shouldn’t mix, many leagues and clubs chose to show solidarity with Israel with minutes of silence, wearing of black armbands and displaying of Israeli flags to remember those killed by Hamas, but no mention of the thousands more Palestinians killed by Israel.

This almost descended into farce in the run-up to an international game between England and Italy on the 17^th October at Wembley Stadium in London. Numerous Tory politicians demanded that the football association (FA) light up the Wembley Stadium arch in the colours of the Israeli flag for the match as they had previously done for Ukraine last year. The FA resisted pressure from the government and decided to instead hold a minute silence at the start of the match which was then booed by fans as it only mentioned Israel and Sweden and made no mention of Palestine.

This followed over a year of solidarity being shown with Ukraine following the Russian invasion with the full support of footballing authorities. The European and global football authorities even went further by taking the unprecedented step to ban Russia and its clubs from all international competitions. In the history of football this has only happened once before, to Yugoslavia following the outbreak of war in 1992. To put this into context, even Nazi Germany was not banned, indeed they were allowed to host the Olympics. The decision to ban Russia though begs the question, why only them? Why not Israel for its ongoing oppression and murder of Palestinians, why not Saudi Arabia for the war in Yemen, why not the USA for Afghanistan and Iraq?

Footballing authorities cannot continue to say politics and football don’t mix and then pick and choose which politics can mix with football. Ultimately the power to change football and support real solidarity with oppressed peoples lies with the sports two largest stakeholders – fans and players. Footballers can have a voice, if enough of them speak out. Players like the Egyptian Mohamed Salah who has expressed solidarity with Palestinians have a role to play but there needs to be more. And player unions must be stronger in protecting players who do speak out. Fans meanwhile can take inspiration from Celtic’s Green Brigade and show real solidarity with Palestinian people by resisting any attempts to suppress such solidarity.